- Matchup: Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury
- Date: Tuesday, July 7, 2026
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
- Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
- Betting Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+3.5)
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The Chicago Sky, sporting a record of 6-14, are set to clash with the Phoenix Mercury (8-13) at the Mortgage Matchup Center this Tuesday. The Sky enter this matchup as 3.5-point underdogs, with the over/under being established at 173.5.
In their latest outing, the Chicago Sky faced off against the Las Vegas Aces, ultimately falling 98-90. The Sky managed a field goal percentage of 43.1%, converting 28 of 65 attempts and hitting 7 of their 20 three-point shots. From the free-throw line, Chicago excelled, sinking 27 of 31 for an impressive 87.1% success rate. On the boards, they secured 32 rebounds, including 6 offensive boards, and recorded 20 assists, while generating 13 turnovers and collecting 8 steals. Defensively, Chicago allowed Las Vegas a shooting percentage of 50.7% (35 for 69). Las Vegas tallied 6 assists and captured 10 steals during the game, alongside 34 rebounds (6 offensive, 28 defensive) and 6 blocks. From the free-throw line, Las Vegas shot 80.0%, hitting 24 of 30 attempts while going 4 for 22 from beyond the arc.
Skylar Diggins played a pivotal role in the last game, scoring 19 points on 7 of 13 shooting over 34 minutes, while also contributing 1 rebound and 4 assists, with a shooting efficiency of 53.8%.
The Chicago Sky navigate into this match with a 6-14 record this season. They average 86.6 points per game (9th in the league) while shooting 43.4% from the field. From deep, the Sky are hitting 30.9% of their three-point attempts (140 of 453) and maintaining a free-throw percentage of 75.9%. As a group, Chicago has recorded an average of 33.4 rebounds per game and has distributed 415 assists, ranking 7th in the WNBA for assists. However, they commit an average of 12.9 turnovers and 22.2 fouls per game. Defensively, the Sky force 13.0 turnovers per game while drawing 21.2 personal fouls, allowing 30.8% shooting from beyond the arc. They rank 12th in the league regarding opponents’ points allowed per game (90.0), with an opponent shooting percentage of 44.0% (260 of 423) and conceding 38.0 rebounds per game. Chicago leads the league in assists given up to opponents, with a total of 381 surrendered this season.
In their previous match, the Phoenix Mercury celebrated a decisive 90-67 win against the Seattle Storm. In that game, the Mercury gathered 27 defensive rebounds and 13 offensive rebounds, culminating in 40 total rebounds. They turned the ball over 10 times while securing 9 steals. The Storm committed 17 fouls, allowing the Mercury 19 free-throw attempts, of which they converted 13 for a 68.4% rate. Phoenix successfully made 11 of their 26 three-point shots (42.3%) and finished the game shooting 45.2% (33 of 73). Defensively, the Mercury allowed Seattle to hit 26 of 62 attempts (41.9%), with the Storm shooting 32.0% from three-point territory by making 8 of 25 shots. On the glass, Phoenix limited Seattle to 29 rebounds (5 offensive).
Kahleah Copper was instrumental for the Mercury, scoring 30 points on 12 of 21 shooting (57.1%) and grabbing 7 rebounds in her 36 minutes on the court, along with 3 assists.
This season, the Phoenix Mercury hold an 8-13 record. Averaging 18.3 fouls per game, they shoot 78.9% from the free-throw line. Their assist rate stands at 19.4 per game (11th in the league), while they average 12.8 turnovers. The Mercury have tallied 1,769 total points this season (84.2 per contest) and grab 32.2 rebounds per game. With an offensive shooting percentage of 43.7% (9th in the league), they allow an average of 85.9 points per game defensively, ranking 7th in the WNBA. On defense, Phoenix forces opponents into 13.1 turnovers per game while permitting a shooting percentage of 46.0% (10th in the WNBA). Their opponents are connecting on 36.7% of their three-point shots (207 of 564), and Phoenix allows 79.3% from the free-throw line. They give up an average of 20.7 assists and 33.3 rebounds per game, placing them 12th and 8th in the league respectively.
Who will cover the spread in tonight’s WNBA showdown?
Prediction: Back Phoenix (-3.5)
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