- Luke Riley vs Kai Kamaka III
- UFC 329: Event Details
- Venue: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
- Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
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On Saturday, July 11, 2026, Luke Riley will step into the Octagon to take on Kai Kamaka III at UFC 329. The betting odds currently favor Riley at -282, while Kamaka III is positioned at +242.
Luke Riley enters the bout with an impressive record of 13-0-0. At 27 years old, he weighs 145 lbs and stands 5’9″ tall. This orthodox fighter boasts a wingspan of 69″. Conversely, Kai “Da Fighting Hawaiian” Kamaka III, aged 31, is 5’7″ and also weighs 145 lbs, carrying a professional record of 18-7-1. He shares the same reach of 69″. When it comes to striking, Riley averages 5.56 significant strikes landed per minute, while Kamaka III follows closely with 5.40. Riley has a striking accuracy of 57%, whereas Kamaka III has a slightly higher average of 59%. In terms of defense, Riley allows 3.32 significant strikes per minute, while Kamaka III absorbs 5.67. Riley successfully defends against 64% of strikes aimed at him, while Kamaka III blocks 56% of opponent strikes.
| UFC 329 | Luke Riley | Kai Kamaka III |
|---|---|---|
| Initial Odds | -282 | +242 |
| Fight Record | 13-0-0 | 18-7-1 |
| Average Fight Duration | 10:15 | 13:54 |
| Height | 5’9″ | 5’7″ |
| Weight | 145 lbs | 145 lbs |
| Reach | 69″ | 69″ |
| Strikes Landed/Minute | 5.56 | 5.40 |
| Striking Precision | 57% | 59% |
Luke Riley has a grappling style that is less aggressive, averaging just 0.70 takedowns every three rounds, achieving a 10% success rate with takedown attempts. His defensive grappling is solid, stopping 37% of adversaries’ takedown attempts. On the other hand, Kai Kamaka III boasts a 53% success rate on takedowns and successfully defends against 55% of takedown attempts. In terms of submissions, Riley works towards 0.8 submissions every 15 minutes, compared to Kamaka III’s average of 0.2 submissions per three rounds.
In his most recent bout, Luke Riley faced Michael Aswell Jr. and secured a unanimous decision victory in the third round. Aswell Jr. landed 107 out of 233 total strikes during the matchup, while Riley successfully landed 113 from 192 attempts. In the significant strikes category, Junior scored 61 out of 180, marking a 33% accuracy, with 48 out of 158 significant strikes directed at the head. Riley’s striking was notably accurate, landing 100 out of 177 significant strikes, which gives him a 56% accuracy. Notably, 95% of Junior’s and 90% of Riley’s significant strikes were tallied at distance.
In his latest match-up, Kai Kamaka III went toe-to-toe with Dakota Hope, emerging victorious via split decision in round 3. Hope achieved a 57% striking accuracy at distance, while Kamaka III connected on 79% of his strikes from the same range. He also landed 66% of total significant strikes, with 105 out of 159 hitting the mark. From head strikes alone, III landed 44 out of 94. Hope registered 106 out of 258 significant strikes overall, achieving a head strike accuracy of 62. In total strikes, Hope threw 312 landing 155 while III landed 144 out of 199 thrown.
Noteworthy Fights to Watch
One intriguing match to keep an eye on features Damian Pinas against Cesar Almeida. Pinas, aiming to improve his record to 9-1-0, stands 6’1″ and weighs 185 lbs, with an orthodox stance and a reach of 79″. Almeida, also 6’1″ and weighing 185 lbs, holds a career record of 7-2-0. This 38-year-old fighter has a reach of 74″. In grappling, Pinas averages 0.90 takedowns per three rounds, while Almeida secures takedowns at a rate of 0.60 over 15 minutes. Striking-wise, Pinas lands an impressive 7.50 strikes per minute, achieving a 56% accuracy, while Almeida averages 3.46 strikes per minute with a success rate of 58%.
Another exciting matchup is Zach Reese facing off against Ryan Gandra. Gandra comes in with a record of 9-1-0, weighs 185 lbs, and stands 6’1″. His reach is also measured at 74″. Reese, measuring at 6’4″ and weighing in at 185 lbs, aims to improve his career record to 10-3-0 (1 NC). Gandra is excellent at avoiding takedowns, defending against 90%, and successfully taking down opponents 10% of the time. Conversely, Reese finishes 61% of his takedown attempts and defends 52% of incoming takedowns. In terms of striking, Gandra absorbs 1.70 strikes per minute while landing 13.02, while Reese allows 3.92 strikes per minute and connects on 4.48.
Who do you think will prevail in tonight’s UFC match against the spread?
Recommendation: Bet on Kai Kamaka III (+242)
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