- Matchup: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Sunday, July 12, 2026
- Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: Reds.TV
- Bets/Point Spread: Chicago (-182) Cincinnati (+150)
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On Sunday, the Cincinnati Reds (43-50) will take on the Chicago Cubs (52-42) at Great American Ball Park. The betting odds favor the Cubs at -182, while the Reds are positioned at +150, with a total set at 9 runs. Starting pitchers for the match are Matthew Boyd and Andrew Abbott.
The Cubs have successfully hit 148 doubles this season and have launched 118 home runs. With a slugging percentage of .409, Chicago has been struck out 794 times and drawn 407 walks. Averaging 5.0 runs per game, they rank 5th in the league, accumulating 439 RBIs and 780 hits, maintaining a batting average of .243. So far, they have scored 471 runs, complemented by an on-base percentage of .336.
The Cubs showcase a K/BB ratio of 2.51, while their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.28. This season, Cubs pitchers have allowed 144 home runs and 425 runs overall (ranking 17th in MLB). They’ve given up 774 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 404 earned runs, resulting in a team earned run average of 4.35 (20th in MLB), with 734 strikeouts. With 292 walks permitted, their FIP currently stands at 4.78.
The Cubs’ bullpen has a save success rate of 52.9%, having entered 73 high-pressure situations this season, converting 18 saves from 34 opportunities. They have inherited 139 runners, with 33.1% scoring, and have appeared with runners on base 96 times. The club has utilized 307 relief pitchers to date, accruing 33 holds (29th in MLB).
Converting 71.8% of balls in play to outs across their 7,518 innings, the Cubs rank 3rd in the league for defensive efficiency. They have recorded 2,506 putouts, 862 assists, and 37 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .989, good for 4th in the majors, with 70 double plays turned.
Matthew Boyd has pitched 1,127 innings, recording 1,089 strikeouts in his career. With a career record of 64-78, he boasts a FIP of 4.50 and has faced 4,782 hitters in the majors. His earned run average stands at 4.57, yielding 572 earned runs, while his WHIP is 1.278, granting 1,093 base hits (8.7 per 9 innings) alongside 348 walks.
For the season, the Cincinnati Reds have totaled 115 home runs and 369 RBIs, along with 145 doubles, 345 walks, and 388 runs. The team’s on-base percentage is .309, with a batting average of .228. They maintain a slugging percentage of .392, averaging 4.17 runs per game, ranking 22nd in the league. With 884 strikeouts (2nd in MLB), the Reds have recorded 711 hits.
The Cincinnati pitching staff has surrendered 442 runs, with an ERA of 4.48 (412 earned runs). They’ve allowed 124 home runs, giving up 4.80 runs per 9 innings, ranking 19th in baseball. With a WHIP of 1.437 and a FIP of 4.90, the staff has a K/BB ratio of 1.82 (754 strikeouts against 414 walks), placing them 20th in the league for total hits allowed, currently at 776.
Ranked 25th in MLB, the Reds have a save percentage of 55.3% and utilized 330 bullpen pitchers to this point in the season. Their relief corps has seen action in 112 high-leverage situations and 105 with runners on base. The team has faced 90 save opportunities, resulting in 51 holds and 17 blown saves. Cincinnati’s relief pitchers have notched 21 saves from 38 chances, with an inherited runner score percentage of 24.7% (146 inherited runners).
Defensively, the Cincinnati Reds have turned 68 double plays, holding a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in MLB). They also recorded 761 assists, 50 errors, and 2,484 putouts on the season. With a defensive efficiency rate of 70.5% across their 7,452 innings played, they hold the 11th rank in professional baseball.
In his professional career, Andrew Abbott has allowed 472 hits while striking out 464 batters across 514 innings. Holding a record of 33-28, Abbott has a 3.52 ERA, allowing 8.3 hits per 9 innings, conceding 201 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.276 and a FIP of 3.5. His K/BB ratio stands at 2.52, having faced 2,167 hitters throughout his career.
Will the Cubs triumph over the Reds in today’s MLB matchup against the spread or on the moneyline?
Selection: Opt for Cincinnati (+150) and the under 9 runs
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