- Matchup: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves
- Date: Friday, July 3, 2026
- Venue: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA
- Broadcast: Braves.TV
- Betting Odds: New York (+106) Atlanta (-128)
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On Friday, the Atlanta Braves (49-34) will face off against the New York Mets (36-50) at Truist Park. The betting line favors New York at +106, while Atlanta is listed at -128. The over/under for this game is set at 9 runs, with Christian Scott and Bryce Elder slated as the starting pitchers.
The New York Mets have struggled offensively, averaging just 4.0 runs per game—ranking them 28th in the MLB. With 343 total runs, their on-base percentage (OBP) stands at .298. The team has hit 104 doubles and 96 home runs, accumulating 329 RBIs and 662 hits for the season, resulting in a batting average of .230. The Mets also possess a slugging percentage of .375 and have struck out 715 times, while drawing 260 walks.
The Mets maintain a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.60, with a pitching staff WHIP of 1.27. To date, Mets pitchers have allowed 85 home runs and a total of 386 runs (18th overall). They have surrendered 675 hits, averaging 7.9 hits per 9 innings, with 346 earned runs leading to a team ERA of 4.06 this season (13th in MLB). Their pitching staff has fanned 786 batters, while issuing 302 walks, with a FIP of 3.83 for the season.
The Mets’ bullpen has a save rate of 60.9% and has stepped in during 55 save situations, achieving 14 successful saves while failing in 9 of their 23 attempts. The relief pitchers have inherited 114 runners this season, with 31.6% scoring. They have encountered players on base 86 times as well as making 95 high-stakes appearances. A total of 261 relievers have been utilized this season, with the bullpen amassing 32 holds (28th in the league).
Defensively, the Mets have converted 69.7% of balls in play into outs over 6,909 innings, placing them 17th in MLB. They have registered 2,303 putouts, along with 696 assists and 56 errors. Their current fielding percentage is .982, ranking 28th in the league, with 50 double plays executed.
Scott holds a 2-3 career record with a FIP of 3.85, having faced 393 batters in the majors. He’s given up 84 hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and issued 33 walks. His earned run average is 3.91 (40 ER allowed), with a career WHIP of 1.270. Scott has taken the mound for 92 innings, achieving 92 strikeouts over his career.
The Atlanta Braves feature a team OBP of .311 and a batting average of .247 this season. They’ve struck out 661 times (25th in the league) while collecting 695 hits. The Braves have hit 103 home runs with a total of 382 RBIs, boasting a team slugging percentage of .406 and averaging 4.73 runs per game (9th overall). They’ve recorded 126 doubles while drawing 246 walks and scoring 393 runs.
As a team, the Braves hold a WHIP of 1.212 and a collective FIP of 3.96. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.70 (712 strikeouts to 276 walks), ranking them 3rd in the league for total hits allowed, with only 615. They have allowed 88 home runs and average 3.76 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB), having given up 307 runs this season, with an ERA of 3.43 (280 earned runs).
The Braves have had 85 save situations, recording 51 holds and 7 blown saves. Their relief pitchers have entered the game in 31 save opportunities, successfully saving 24. Atlanta’s relief unit has inherited 26.9% of 78 inherited runners, and their relievers have made 81 high leverage appearances, with 54 occurring with runners on base. With a save percentage of 77.4%, they rank 4th in MLB, having used 256 pitchers so far this season.
The Braves have successfully maintained a defensive efficiency of 71.9% over their 6,621 innings (3rd in MLB). They’ve executed 59 double plays with a fielding percentage of .987 (10th in MLB), accumulating 673 assists, 37 errors, and 2,207 putouts.
In his professional career, Elder has allowed 526 hits while recording 435 strikeouts over 532 innings. He has allowed 265 earned runs, yielding a WHIP of 1.334 and a FIP of 4.4. His K/BB ratio stands at 2.36, having faced 2,279 opposing batters during his MLB career. With a 29-30 career record, Elder holds an ERA of 4.48 and allows 8.9 hits per nine innings pitched.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Atlanta (-128)
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