- Matchup: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Thursday, July 16, 2026
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia
- Betting Odds: New York Mets (+132) Philadelphia Phillies (-160)
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The New York Mets (40-57) are set to face the Philadelphia Phillies (54-43) at Citizens Bank Park this Thursday. The moneyline for the Mets is +132, while the Phillies are at -160. The over/under for this matchup is set at 9 runs, and the projected starting pitchers are Christian Scott and Aaron Nola.
This season, the New York Mets have been averaging 4.1 runs per game, ranking them 26th in MLB. They have scored a total of 398 runs with an on-base percentage of .303. The Mets have also recorded 120 doubles and hit 112 home runs, achieving 379 RBIs and accumulating 761 hits, giving them a season batting average of .234. Their slugging percentage stands at .381, with 797 strikeouts compared to 299 walks.
New York boasts an earned run average (ERA) of 4.27, ranking 18th in the league, and their pitchers have struck out 885 batters. The Mets have allowed 107 home runs and a total of 463 runs (21st in baseball). The pitching staff has issued 351 walks, and they have a team FIP of 4.04 this year. Opponents have recorded 784 hits against them (8.2 per 9 innings), leading to 411 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.52, and their collective WHIP is 1.31.
The Mets’ bullpen has a 55.2% save rate and has entered 64 save situations, successfully converting 16 saves out of 29 attempts. Relief pitchers have inherited 129 runners, with 29.5% scoring. The bullpen has made 106 appearances in high-leverage situations and has used 301 pitchers this season. The Mets hold 35 holds, placing them 29th in the league.
Defensively, New York has turned 69.3% of balls in play into outs, ranking 22nd among all teams. They have compiled 2,597 putouts, 791 assists, and committed 65 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .981, placing them 29th in MLB. They’ve executed 53 double plays this season.
Christian Scott has pitched 101 innings and recorded 104 strikeouts throughout his career, holding an ERA of 3.83 with a WHIP of 1.256. He has given up 89 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) and issued 38 walks. Scott has a career win-loss record of 2-4 and a FIP of 3.77 after facing 430 hitters in the majors.
The Philadelphia Phillies have totaled 124 home runs and posted 409 RBIs this season. They recorded 130 doubles, accumulated 287 walks, and scored 424 runs. The team holds a .303 on-base percentage and a .236 batting average, with a slugging percentage of .398. They average 4.37 runs per game (18th in MLB) and have struck out 851 times (8th in the league), totaling 770 hits.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.315 and a team FIP of 3.75 this season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 9.90 (949 strikeouts to 280 walks). They have allowed 850 total hits, ranking 26th in MLB, given up 115 home runs, and yield 4.55 runs every 9 innings (16th in the league). The Phillies’ total runs allowed this season stands at 434 with a team ERA of 4.23.
Philadelphia ranks 3rd in the league with a save percentage of 74.4% and has utilized 323 relief pitchers this season. Their relief staff has entered 85 high-leverage situations and 73 with runners on base. The Phillies have had 39 holds and 10 blown saves, converting 29 saves out of 39 save opportunities with an inherited score percentage of 34.7% from 101 inherited runners.
The Phillies’ defense has turned 52 double plays and boasts a .986 fielding percentage (14th in MLB). They recorded 795 assists, 47 errors, and achieved 2,578 putouts in 7,734 innings, resulting in a defensive efficiency of 66.9% (29th in baseball).
Aaron Nola, with a career record of 112-95, has a 3.93 ERA and allows 8.1 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 4.12, and throughout his MLB career, he has faced 7,464 batters and allowed 792 earned runs, achieving a WHIP of 1.164 and a FIP of 3.9. Nola has permitted 1,630 hits while accumulating 1,978 strikeouts in 1,812 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB clash against the spread or moneyline?
Recommendation: Back New York (+132)
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