- Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs San Diego Padres
- Date: Sunday, July 12, 2026
- Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
- Broadcast: Padres.TV
- Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-152) San Diego (+126)
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The Toronto Blue Jays (45-49) are heading to Petco Park this Sunday to face off against the San Diego Padres (46-48). The moneyline for this encounter shows Toronto at -152 while San Diego stands at +126. The over/under for the game is set at 8 runs, and the starting pitchers will be Kevin Gausman for the Blue Jays and German Marquez for the Padres.
The Blue Jays currently hold a slugging percentage of .383 and have recorded 687 strikeouts, paired with 256 walks. The team has amassed 365 RBIs and 770 hits throughout the season, resulting in a batting average of .244. Toronto has contributed 146 doubles and hit 94 home runs. They have scored 381 runs this season with an on-base percentage of .305. Averaging 4.1 runs per game, the Blue Jays rank 27th in the league.
The Blue Jays have a collective earned run average of 4.07 this season, ranking 12th in Major League Baseball, and their pitchers have struck out a total of 833 batters. The team has allowed 105 home runs and 414 runs total (13th in MLB). With a team FIP of 4.02, Blue Jays pitchers have also walked 330 batters, allowing 751 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 377 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio stands at 2.52, while they maintain a WHIP of 1.30.
The bullpen has been tested frequently, with 103 instances of runners on base and 109 high-leverage situations. They’ve managed 62 holds this season (5th in MLB) and have a save rate of 70.7%, entering 106 save scenarios and converting 29 saves from 41 opportunities. The relief staff has inherited 150 runners this season, with 26.7% scoring.
For the entire season, the Blue Jays have racked up 2,501 putouts, 782 assists, and 60 errors, leading to a fielding percentage of .982, which places them 27th in the league. They’ve executed 67 double plays, converting 69.6% of balls in play into outs across 7,503 innings (18th in MLB).
Kevin Gausman has totaled 2,017 innings pitched in his career, amassing 2,062 strikeouts. Holding a career record of 116-121, Gausman has a FIP of 3.78 and has faced 8,431 hitters, with an ERA of 3.84 (861 earned runs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.239. He has conceded 1,936 hits, averaging 8.6 hits per nine innings and 564 walks.
The Padres have an overall slugging percentage of .372, scoring 3.89 runs per game (30th in MLB). They have registered 138 doubles, drawn 308 walks, and totaled 366 runs. With 98 home runs, San Diego has notched 358 RBIs, while striking out 790 times (14th in MLB) and recording 694 hits. Their OBP stands at .300 with a team batting average of .225 throughout the season.
San Diego’s pitching staff has allowed 411 runs, holding a collective ERA of 4.21 (388 earned runs). They have surrendered 102 home runs and permit 4.46 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league). With a team WHIP of 1.335 and a FIP of 4.21, their K/BB ratio is 8.30 (764 strikeouts against 334 walks), ranking 19th in total hits allowed with 774.
The relief corps for the Padres has inherited 162 runners and allowed 32.1% to score. They have appeared 103 times in high-leverage situations and 95 times with runners on base. With 96 save chances, they’ve achieved 57 holds and recorded 10 blown saves, boasting a save percentage of 73.0% and deploying 316 relief pitchers this season.
San Diego has executed 83 double plays, securing a fielding percentage of .990 (2nd in MLB). They have 822 assists, 34 errors, and 2,492 putouts during the season. With a defensive efficiency of 69.9% over 7,476 innings, they rank 16th in the league.
Throughout his MLB journey, Marquez has allowed 1,211 hits and struck out 1,093 in 1,183 innings. He carries a WHIP of 1.338 and a FIP of 4.6 while permitting 616 earned runs. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.94, having faced 5,068 opponents, with a career record of 72-74 and an earned run average of 4.69, allowing 9.2 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s matchup — covering the spread or winning outright?
Prediction: Bet on Toronto (-152)
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